Twenty live Polymarket markets, sorted into the two stories the market tells about AI. Each side is priced as its share of the pair, so BULL + BEAR always sums to 1. Open a panel to see what's inside.
Prices here are raw YES midpoints. The live monitor adds the deadline-adjusted basis – one-time catalysts annualized with a constant-hazard model – plus volume weighting and the chain-linked composite history. How the pair is priced: methodology.